Combat Edge Intelligence

Javier Reyes vs Mirsad Bektić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Javier ReyesNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664
Mirsad BektićNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.91
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
56%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
47%
Strike defense
58%
2
Takedown avg.
3.98
50%
Takedown accuracy
53%
50%
Takedown defense
92%
0
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Javier ReyesMirsad Bektić
16501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
8 (35%)
Submission
3 (23%)
4 (17%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Javier Reyes60%
Mirsad Bektić 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Javier Reyes a 60% favorite over Mirsad Bektić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mirsad Bektić's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.

Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Javier Reyes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mirsad Bektić 69%.

Javier Reyes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.