Combat Edge Intelligence

Javier Vazquez vs Marco Novák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Javier VazquezNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Marco NovákNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
72%
Strike defense
TBD
2.56
Takedown avg.
TBD
52%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Javier VazquezMarco Novák
15001550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
10 (63%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (31%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Javier Vazquez and Marco Novák within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Javier Vazquez finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Marco Novák 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.