Jay Hieron vs Jeremiah Wells
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record14-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jay HieronJeremiah Wells
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremiah Wells87%
Jay Hieron 13%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 87% favorite over Jay Hieron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Hieron's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.
Jay Hieron enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jay Hieron finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Wells 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.