Jay Jay Wilson vs Roman Bogatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance Jiu-JitsuTeamBoets MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jay Jay WilsonRoman Bogatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jay Jay Wilson68%
Roman Bogatov 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 68% favorite over Roman Bogatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.
Jay Jay Wilson finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Roman Bogatov 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.