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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jay Perrin vs Motonobu Tezuka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
us

Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record30-15-6
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamSecret Base Dominate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jay PerrinNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Motonobu TezukaNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
0.87
47%
Strike accuracy
24%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
45%
Strike defense
51%
2.83
Takedown avg.
1.50
53%
Takedown accuracy
11%
59%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Jay PerrinMotonobu Tezuka
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
7 (23%)
4 (31%)
Submission
7 (23%)
7 (54%)
Decision
16 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Jay Perrin61%
Motonobu Tezuka 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jay Perrin a 61% favorite over Motonobu Tezuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Motonobu Tezuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jay Perrin finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Motonobu Tezuka 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.