Combat Edge Intelligence

Jay Perrin vs Nick Pace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
us

Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jay PerrinNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Nick PaceNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
47%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
45%
Strike defense
58%
2.83
Takedown avg.
2.52
53%
Takedown accuracy
43%
59%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Jay PerrinNick Pace
155016002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
4 (31%)
Submission
5 (63%)
7 (54%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jay Perrin and Nick Pace within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Pace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jay Perrin finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pace 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.