Jay Silva vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-13-1Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
225 lbsWeight185 lbs
MPF Training SystemsTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1495
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jay SilvaMarcio Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral70%
Jay Silva 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 70% favorite over Jay Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Silva's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1499), separated by just 8 points.
Jay Silva finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.