Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Do Santos vs Valmir Lazaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,0"
156 lbsWeight154 lbs
Heioxo MMA ClubTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jean Do SantosNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
96%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jean Do SantosValmir Lazaro
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Do Santos59%
Valmir Lazaro 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Do Santos a 59% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valmir Lazaro's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1613), separated by just 4 points.

Jean Do Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jean Do Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.