Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1670 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Jean Matsumoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Miles Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1769
If they lose-18→ 1737
If they win+18→ 1736
If they lose-14→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jean MatsumotoMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Matsumoto60%
Miles Johns 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 60% favorite over Miles Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jean Matsumoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1718, a 37-point edge.
Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
Jean Matsumoto and Miles Johns share 1 common opponent: Dan Argueta.
Jean Matsumoto carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.