Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Jean Matsumoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Miles Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1771
If they lose-18→ 1739
If they win+18→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jean MatsumotoMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Matsumoto62%
Miles Johns 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 62% favorite over Miles Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jean Matsumoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1707, a 50-point edge.
Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
Jean Matsumoto carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.