Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Matsumoto vs Rob Font

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Font
us

Rob Font

22-10-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record22-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamNew England Cartel

What's at stake

Jean Matsumoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rob Font carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jean MatsumotoNow 1754
If they win+15→ 1769
If they lose-17→ 1737
Rob FontNow 1731
If they win+13→ 1744
If they lose-11→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
5.36
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
48%
Strike defense
57%
3
Takedown avg.
0.74
49%
Takedown accuracy
30%
56%
Takedown defense
44%
0.53
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Jean MatsumotoRob Font
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
6 (33%)
Submission
4 (18%)
9 (50%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Matsumoto80%
Rob Font 20%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 80% favorite over Rob Font in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Jean Matsumoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1731, a 23-point edge.

Rob Font enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rob Font 59%.

Rob Font carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.