Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach80"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Phil Rowe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667
If they win+18→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniPhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Phil Rowe within a point of even.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1638, a 47-point edge.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Phil Rowe share 1 common opponent: Seok Hyeon Ko.
Phil Rowe carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.