Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Phil Rowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Rowe
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Phil Rowe

“The Fresh Prince”

11-7-0WelterweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach80"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
California Mixed Martial ArtsTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Phil Rowe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniNow 1655
If they win+15→ 1670
If they lose-17→ 1638
Phil RoweNow 1637
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
79%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
65%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.52
0%
Takedown accuracy
36%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniPhil Rowe
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (36%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66%
Phil Rowe 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 66% favorite over Phil Rowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1637, a 18-point edge.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.

Phil Rowe carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.