Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Phil Rowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Rowe
us

Phil Rowe

“The Fresh Prince”

11-7-0WelterweightUFC

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach80"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Phil Rowe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniNow 1683
If they win+14→ 1697
If they lose-18→ 1665
Phil RoweNow 1638
If they win+18→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
62%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
53%
Strike defense
52%
2.79
Takedown avg.
0.52
30%
Takedown accuracy
36%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
1.86
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniPhil Rowe
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
5 (45%)
Submission
4 (36%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani72%
Phil Rowe 28%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 72% favorite over Phil Rowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1638, a 45-point edge.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Phil Rowe share 1 common opponent: Seok Hyeon Ko.

Phil Rowe carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Seok Hyeon Ko
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025