Jeff Curran vs John Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-18-1Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team CurranTeamAzTex MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff CurranJohn Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza71%
Jeff Curran 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 71% favorite over Jeff Curran in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Curran's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.
Jeff Curran enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeff Curran finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, John Garza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.