Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Curran vs Scott Jorgensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Curran
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Jeff Curran

“Big Frog”

36-18-1BantamweightVFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

36-18-1Record15-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach37.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team CurranTeamTwisted Genetiks

What's at stake

Scott Jorgensen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jeff Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeff CurranNow 1599
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1588
Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+15→ 1643
If they lose-17→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
32%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
61%
Strike defense
65%
0.35
Takedown avg.
2.61
13%
Takedown accuracy
46%
36%
Takedown defense
60%
1.16
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Jeff CurranScott Jorgensen
160016502013201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
19 (53%)
Submission
5 (33%)
14 (39%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Jorgensen70%
Jeff Curran 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Jorgensen a 70% favorite over Jeff Curran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Scott Jorgensen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1599, a 29-point edge.

Jeff Curran enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeff Curran finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Scott Jorgensen 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.