Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Hougland vs Neto Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sport and FitnessTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeff HouglandNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Neto LopesNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
19%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.15
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeff HouglandNeto Lopes
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (20%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Neto Lopes63%
Jeff Hougland 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Neto Lopes a 63% favorite over Jeff Hougland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.

Jeff Hougland enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeff Hougland finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.