Jeff Hougland vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sport and FitnessTeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
Takeya Mizugaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jeff Hougland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1601
If they lose-14→ 1569
If they win+11→ 1632
If they lose-13→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeff HouglandTakeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takeya Mizugaki74%
Jeff Hougland 26%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Takeya Mizugaki a 74% favorite over Jeff Hougland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Takeya Mizugaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1583, a 38-point edge.
Jeff Hougland enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeff Hougland finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.