Jeff Hughes vs Juan Espino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
40,0"Reach80,0"
253 lbsWeight257 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Juan Espino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jeff Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1641
If they lose-14→ 1609
If they win+14→ 1680
If they lose-18→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff HughesJuan Espino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Espino60%
Jeff Hughes 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Espino a 60% favorite over Jeff Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Juan Espino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1623, a 43-point edge.
Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeff Hughes finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Juan Espino 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.