Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Hughes vs Maurice Greene

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Hughes
us

Jeff Hughes

“Lights Out”

10-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
40,0"ReachTBD
253 lbsWeight262 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Jeff Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Maurice Greene carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeff HughesNow 1623
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606
Maurice GreeneNow 1595
If they win+17→ 1612
If they lose-15→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
61%
Strike defense
46%
0.71
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Jeff HughesMaurice Greene
16001650201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
1 (10%)
Submission
6 (55%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeff Hughes56%
Maurice Greene 44%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeff Hughes a 56% favorite over Maurice Greene in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Jeff Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1595, a 28-point edge.

Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Maurice Greene enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeff Hughes finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Greene 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.