Jeff Hughes vs Raphael Pessoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
40,0"Reach78″
253 lbsWeight247 lbs
What's at stake
Jeff Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Raphael Pessoa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1636
If they lose-19→ 1604
If they win+19→ 1585
If they lose-13→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff HughesRaphael Pessoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeff Hughes70%
Raphael Pessoa 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeff Hughes a 70% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Jeff Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1566, a 57-point edge.
Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jeff Hughes finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.