Jeff Hughes vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
40,0"Reach78,0"
253 lbsWeight241 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Jeff Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Todd Duffee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606
If they win+17→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff HughesTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeff Hughes56%
Todd Duffee 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeff Hughes a 56% favorite over Todd Duffee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Jeff Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1601, a 22-point edge.
Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeff Hughes finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.