Jeff Hughes vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
40,0"Reach78"
253 lbsWeight241 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Jeff Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Todd Duffee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606
If they win+17→ 1622
If they lose-15→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeff HughesTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Todd Duffee59%
Jeff Hughes 41%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Todd Duffee a 59% favorite over Jeff Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Hughes's way (47%).
Jeff Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1605, a 18-point edge.
Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeff Hughes finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.