Jeff Joslin vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Joslin Fight TeamTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Josh Koscheck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jeff Joslin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+36→ 1484
If they lose-12→ 1436
If they win+6→ 1650
If they lose-18→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff JoslinJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Koscheck78%
Jeff Joslin 22%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Koscheck a 78% favorite over Jeff Joslin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Josh Koscheck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1448, a 196-point edge.
Jeff Joslin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Jeff Joslin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.