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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Joslin vs Samuel Bily

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Joslin
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Jeff Joslin

“The Inferno”

5-3-0WelterweightUFC

1448Developing

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
Joslin Fight TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeff JoslinNow 1448
If they win+24→ 1472
If they lose-24→ 1424
Samuel BilyNow 1447
If they win+24→ 1471
If they lose-24→ 1423

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.20
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
33%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
66%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
64%
Takedown defense
Not available
1
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jeff JoslinSamuel Bily
1450200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Samuel Bily54%
Jeff Joslin 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 54% favorite over Jeff Joslin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Joslin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1448 vs 1447), separated by just 1 points.

Jeff Joslin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeff Joslin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.