Jeff Molina vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
69"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jeff Molina is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Zhalgas Zhumagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-18→ 1674
If they win+18→ 1661
If they lose-14→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff MolinaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeff Molina72%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeff Molina a 72% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jeff Molina holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1643, a 49-point edge.
Jeff Molina enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jeff Molina finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Jeff Molina carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.