Jeff Monson vs Marcio Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
60-26-1Record8-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
238 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Fusion
What's at stake
Jeff Monson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marcio Cruz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1602
If they win+18→ 1600
If they lose-14→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeff MonsonMarcio Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jeff Monson and Marcio Cruz within a point of even.
Jeff Monson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1582, a 33-point edge.
Jeff Monson finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cruz 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.