Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Monson vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Monson
us

Jeff Monson

“The Snowman”

60-26-1HeavyweightDMMA

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

60-26-1Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach79"
238 lbsWeight237 lbs
American Top TeamTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeff MonsonNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Mohammed UsmanNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
36%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
59%
Strike defense
51%
1.39
Takedown avg.
0.56
16%
Takedown accuracy
14%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeff MonsonMohammed Usman
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
36 (61%)
Submission
2 (18%)
18 (31%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammed Usman67%
Jeff Monson 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 67% favorite over Jeff Monson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Monson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Jeff Monson finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.