Jeff Monson vs Ricco Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
60-26-1Record54-27-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
238 lbsWeight225 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Fight Club
What's at stake
Jeff Monson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ricco Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1627
If they lose-13→ 1603
If they win+13→ 1603
If they lose-11→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeff MonsonRicco Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricco Rodriguez56%
Jeff Monson 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricco Rodriguez a 56% favorite over Jeff Monson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Monson's way (46%).
Jeff Monson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1590, a 26-point edge.
Ricco Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeff Monson finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ricco Rodriguez 78%.
Jeff Monson and Ricco Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Ivan Shtyrkov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.