Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Newton vs Norbert Pietrzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
204 lbsWeight206 lbs
Todd Medina Freestyle TeamTeamPro-Core HQ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeff NewtonNow 1542
If they win+25→ 1567
If they lose-23→ 1519
Norbert PietrzakNow 1553
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-25→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.28
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
20%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
8.47
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeff NewtonNorbert Pietrzak
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
2 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Norbert Pietrzak62%
Jeff Newton 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 62% favorite over Jeff Newton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1553), separated by just 11 points.

Jeff Newton finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.