Jeff Newton vs Zdenek Polivka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record10-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
Todd Medina Freestyle TeamTeamGorila MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeff NewtonZdenek Polivka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zdenek Polivka59%
Jeff Newton 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zdenek Polivka a 59% favorite over Jeff Newton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Newton's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.
Jeff Newton finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zdenek Polivka 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.