Jenel Lausa vs Kayck Alencar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-8-0Record12-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
35,0"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team CapanayTeamEvolucao Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-16→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jenel LausaKayck Alencar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayck Alencar63%
Jenel Lausa 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayck Alencar a 63% favorite over Jenel Lausa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jenel Lausa's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1512), separated by just 6 points.
Jenel Lausa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Jenel Lausa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kayck Alencar 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.