Jenel Lausa vs Magomed Bibulatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-8-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
35,0"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team CapanayTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Bibulatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jenel Lausa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1542
If they lose-8→ 1510
If they win+6→ 1724
If they lose-18→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jenel LausaMagomed Bibulatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Bibulatov72%
Jenel Lausa 28%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Bibulatov a 72% favorite over Jenel Lausa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Magomed Bibulatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1518, a 200-point edge.
Jenel Lausa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Jenel Lausa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.