Jenel Lausa vs Magomed Bibulatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-8-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
35,0"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team CapanayTeamFight Club Akhmat
What's at stake
Magomed Bibulatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jenel Lausa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1542
If they lose-8→ 1510
If they win+6→ 1711
If they lose-18→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jenel LausaMagomed Bibulatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Bibulatov84%
Jenel Lausa 16%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Bibulatov a 84% favorite over Jenel Lausa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Magomed Bibulatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1518, a 187-point edge.
Jenel Lausa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Magomed Bibulatov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jenel Lausa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.