Jennifer Maia vs Lauren Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-1Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamGracie Barra Katy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jennifer MaiaLauren Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jennifer Maia52%
Lauren Murphy 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jennifer Maia a 52% favorite over Lauren Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1652), separated by just 8 points.
Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jennifer Maia finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.
Jennifer Maia and Lauren Murphy share 2 common opponents: Valentina Shevchenko and Joanne Wood.
Lauren Murphy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
LossTKO · 2021
LossTKO (elbows and punches) · 2021