Jennifer Maia vs Valentina Shevchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-1Record26-4-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Valentina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jennifer Maia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1678
If they lose-6→ 1654
If they win+6→ 1840
If they lose-18→ 1816
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jennifer MaiaValentina Shevchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentina Shevchenko84%
Jennifer Maia 16%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentina Shevchenko a 84% favorite over Jennifer Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Valentina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1660, a 174-point edge.
Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jennifer Maia finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Shevchenko 58%.
Jennifer Maia and Valentina Shevchenko share 1 common opponent: Manon Fiorot.
Valentina Shevchenko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.