Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Riggs vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
181 lbsWeight185 lbs
Sports LabTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Jeremiah Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremiah RiggsNow 1489
If they win+15→ 1504
If they lose-17→ 1472
Ondřej RaškaNow 1470
If they win+17→ 1487
If they lose-15→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeremiah RiggsOndřej Raška
1450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
3 (43%)
Submission
5 (42%)
3 (43%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška61%
Jeremiah Riggs 39%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 61% favorite over Jeremiah Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Riggs's way (47%).

Jeremiah Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1470, a 19-point edge.

Jeremiah Riggs enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremiah Riggs finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.