Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Wells vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
74"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

Jeremiah Wells is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremiah WellsNow 1720
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-18→ 1702
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+14→ 1683
If they lose-10→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
48%
Strike defense
58%
3.06
Takedown avg.
1.28
3%
Takedown accuracy
41%
50%
Takedown defense
70%
1.31
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Jeremiah WellsMax Griffin
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
5 (36%)
Submission
2 (10%)
4 (29%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremiah Wells87%
Max Griffin 13%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 87% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Jeremiah Wells holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1669, a 51-point edge.

Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremiah Wells finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Max Griffin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.