Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Wells vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
74"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

Jeremiah Wells is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremiah WellsNow 1688
If they win+15→ 1703
If they lose-17→ 1671
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
48%
Strike defense
58%
3.06
Takedown avg.
1.28
3%
Takedown accuracy
41%
50%
Takedown defense
70%
1.31
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Jeremiah WellsMax Griffin
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (10%)
4 (31%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremiah Wells59%
Max Griffin 41%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 59% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Jeremiah Wells holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1669, a 19-point edge.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremiah Wells finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Max Griffin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.