Jeremiah Wells vs Paul Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1583 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremiah WellsPaul Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Hughes60%
Jeremiah Wells 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Hughes a 60% favorite over Jeremiah Wells in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Wells's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1719), separated by just 0 points.
Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jeremiah Wells finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Paul Hughes 71%.
Jeremiah Wells carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.