Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremiah Wells vs Samandar Murodov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record10-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat Tajikistan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremiah WellsNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Samandar MurodovNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
46%
Strike accuracy
81%
1.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
48%
Strike defense
0%
3.06
Takedown avg.
3.01
3%
Takedown accuracy
100%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.31
Submission avg.
3.01

Trajectory

Jeremiah WellsSamandar Murodov
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (36%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (29%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremiah Wells62%
Samandar Murodov 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 62% favorite over Samandar Murodov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.

Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Samandar Murodov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jeremiah Wells finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Samandar Murodov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.