Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Freitag vs Joe Schilling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Schilling
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Joe Schilling

“Stitch 'Em Up”

4-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1462Average

Tale of the tape

6-10-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Capital City Fighting AllianceTeamThe Yard Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy FreitagNow 1451
If they win+17→ 1468
If they lose-15→ 1436
Joe SchillingNow 1462
If they win+23→ 1485
If they lose-25→ 1437

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeremy FreitagJoe Schilling
145020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
3 (50%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Schilling66%
Jeremy Freitag 34%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 66% favorite over Jeremy Freitag in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1451 vs 1462), separated by just 11 points.

Jeremy Freitag enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Freitag finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joe Schilling 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.