Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Horn vs Kamaru Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jeremy Horn
us

Jeremy Horn

“Gumby”

92-22-5MiddleweightEC

1801Great
Kamaru Usman
us

Kamaru Usman

“The Nigerian Nightmare”

21-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1810Great

Tale of the tape

92-22-5Record21-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite PerformanceTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy HornNow 1801
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789
Kamaru UsmanNow 1810
If they win+12→ 1822
If they lose-12→ 1798

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1799 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
4.16
36%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
55%
Strike defense
55%
0.45
Takedown avg.
2.79
13%
Takedown accuracy
44%
30%
Takedown defense
90%
1.56
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Jeremy HornKamaru Usman
1800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

26 (28%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
54 (59%)
Submission
1 (5%)
12 (13%)
Decision
11 (52%)

Combat Edge model read

Kamaru Usman72%
Jeremy Horn 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kamaru Usman a 72% favorite over Jeremy Horn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1801 vs 1810), separated by just 9 points.

Jeremy Horn finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.