Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Horn vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeremy Horn
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Jeremy Horn

“Gumby”

92-22-5MiddleweightEC

1801Great

Tale of the tape

92-22-5Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite PerformanceTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

Jeremy Horn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Nate Marquardt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremy HornNow 1801
If they win+7→ 1808
If they lose-17→ 1784
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+17→ 1668
If they lose-7→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
36%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
55%
Strike defense
56%
0.45
Takedown avg.
1.87
13%
Takedown accuracy
51%
30%
Takedown defense
71%
1.56
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Jeremy HornNate Marquardt
16501700175018002021

Win method breakdown

26 (28%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
54 (59%)
Submission
15 (42%)
12 (13%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Horn74%
Nate Marquardt 26%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Horn a 74% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Jeremy Horn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1651, a 150-point edge.

Jeremy Horn finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.