Jeremy Horn vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
92-22-5Record19-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite PerformanceTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
Jeremy Horn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Rousimar Palhares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1805
If they lose-20→ 1781
If they win+20→ 1564
If they lose-4→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy HornRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Horn76%
Rousimar Palhares 24%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Horn a 76% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Jeremy Horn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1544, a 257-point edge.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Horn finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.