Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Horn vs Trevor Prangley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeremy Horn
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Jeremy Horn

“Gumby”

92-22-5MiddleweightEC

1801Great

Tale of the tape

92-22-5Record34-11-2
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite PerformanceTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Jeremy Horn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Trevor Prangley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremy HornNow 1801
If they win+8→ 1809
If they lose-16→ 1785
Trevor PrangleyNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-8→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
36%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
55%
Strike defense
49%
0.45
Takedown avg.
4.11
13%
Takedown accuracy
64%
30%
Takedown defense
74%
1.56
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Jeremy HornTrevor Prangley
165017001750180020132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

26 (28%)
KO/TKO
9 (26%)
54 (59%)
Submission
13 (38%)
12 (13%)
Decision
12 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Horn75%
Trevor Prangley 25%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Horn a 75% favorite over Trevor Prangley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Jeremy Horn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1686, a 115-point edge.

Jeremy Horn finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Prangley 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.