Jeremy Jackson vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team FreedomTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+35→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1576
If they win+7→ 1766
If they lose-17→ 1742
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy JacksonNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz81%
Jeremy Jackson 19%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 81% favorite over Jeremy Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1589, a 170-point edge.
Jeremy Jackson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Jackson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.