Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Kennedy vs Steve Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Garcia
us

Steve Garcia

“Mean Machine”

19-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1723Good

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71,0"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy KennedyNow 1722
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
Steve GarciaNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
47%
Strike defense
59%
5.73
Takedown avg.
0.86
53%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Jeremy KennedySteve Garcia
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (53%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Garcia60%
Jeremy Kennedy 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Garcia a 60% favorite over Jeremy Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1723), separated by just 1 points.

Jeremy Kennedy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.

Steve Garcia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.