Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Kimball vs Joshua Stansbury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record8-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
41,0"Reach74.00
213 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamTeam Impact

What's at stake

Jeremy Kimball is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Joshua Stansbury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremy KimballNow 1614
If they win+8→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1598
Joshua StansburyNow 1491
If they win+32→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
47%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.54
49%
Strike defense
55%
1.41
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Jeremy KimballJoshua Stansbury
150015501600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (63%)
4 (21%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Kimball68%
Joshua Stansbury 32%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Kimball a 68% favorite over Joshua Stansbury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Jeremy Kimball holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1491, a 123-point edge.

Joshua Stansbury enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Kimball finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Stansbury 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.