Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Kimball vs Robert Lau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Robert Lau
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Robert Lau

11-3-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
41,0"Reach-
213 lbsWeight190 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy KimballNow 1624
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
Robert LauNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
1.41
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jeremy KimballRobert Lau
160020252026

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (27%)
4 (21%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Kimball64%
Robert Lau 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Kimball a 64% favorite over Robert Lau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1619), separated by just 5 points.

Robert Lau enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jeremy Kimball finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Robert Lau 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.