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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Kimball vs Sam Hoger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Hoger
us

Sam Hoger

“Alaskan Assassin”

10-4-0Light HeavyweightHoger MMA

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
41,0"ReachTBD
213 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy KimballNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Sam HogerNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
47%
Strike accuracy
25%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
49%
Strike defense
57%
1.41
Takedown avg.
1.12
20%
Takedown accuracy
38%
50%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Jeremy KimballSam Hoger
1600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (60%)
4 (21%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Kimball70%
Sam Hoger 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Kimball a 70% favorite over Sam Hoger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Sam Hoger enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jeremy Kimball finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hoger 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.