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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Larsen vs Joshua Aleman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record3-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy LarsenNow 1505
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489
Joshua AlemanNow 1504
If they win+24→ 1528
If they lose-24→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
2.49
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jeremy LarsenJoshua Aleman
15001550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Submission
2 (67%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Aleman52%
Jeremy Larsen 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Aleman a 52% favorite over Jeremy Larsen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Larsen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1504), separated by just 1 points.

Jeremy Larsen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Larsen finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Aleman 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.