Jeremy Larsen vs Lucas Martins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Lucas Martins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Larsen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1528
If they lose-9→ 1496
If they win+6→ 1686
If they lose-18→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Martins74%
Jeremy Larsen 26%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Martins a 74% favorite over Jeremy Larsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Lucas Martins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1505, a 175-point edge.
Jeremy Larsen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Larsen finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Martins 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.