Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Stephens vs Joe Brammer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Brammer
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Joe Brammer

“The Southside Strangler”

7-3-1Lightweight

1555Solid

Tale of the tape

29-23-0Record7-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alliance MMATeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
Joe BrammerNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
41%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
59%
Strike defense
57%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0.81
38%
Takedown accuracy
50%
62%
Takedown defense
50%
0.37
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeremy StephensJoe Brammer
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (66%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (7%)
Submission
5 (71%)
8 (28%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Stephens59%
Joe Brammer 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 59% favorite over Joe Brammer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Brammer's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Brammer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Joe Brammer 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.