Jeremy Stephens vs Joe Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record10-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMATeamThe Arena
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensJoe Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jeremy Stephens and Joe Duarte within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duarte 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.