Jeremy Stephens vs Kaleo Meheula
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1677 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensKaleo Meheula
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Stephens65%
Kaleo Meheula 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 65% favorite over Kaleo Meheula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kaleo Meheula 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.